题目类型：
判断题
题目内容
Passage 1
Analysis and forecast of China's export situation in 1998
In term of export policy environments in 1998, the reform of China's foreign trade mechanism required by the socialist market economy will progress with new changes in the administrative functions of the government. By means of support and preferential policies, the state will encourage the development of backbone industries that display strong competitiveness in intemational market hi-tech industries and capital-intensive industries. Policies that encourage exports will be further implemented. Under these premises, the state will adjust export policies in line with its macroeconomic development program New foreign trade policies are beginning to play active roles. They have raised tax rebates of textiles and will continue the effort to bring about a zero-rate terminally so as to reduce export costs.
The policy environments in 1998 will work to foster growth in exports. International and domestic markets are revealing the following favorable factors. First, importing countries are continuing to raise demand for Chinese products. Second, domestic production capacity has been upgraded although domestic investment and consumption are still limited. Third, inflation was kept under control in 1997. However the intemnational market has given rise to some negative impacts on China's exports. The financial crisis that shock South-east Asia in 1997 has caused many nations to devaluate their currencies. This has led to new level of competition within the region.The devaluation of the Yen has burt Chinese exports to Japan. A large share of the processing and assembling activities in China and around East Asia will be seriously affected by the currency devaluation. The financial turmoil has had a massive impact on many sectors of the economy.
Capital-intensive industries require large amount of capital investment.
Analysis and forecast of China's export situation in 1998
In term of export policy environments in 1998, the reform of China's foreign trade mechanism required by the socialist market economy will progress with new changes in the administrative functions of the government. By means of support and preferential policies, the state will encourage the development of backbone industries that display strong competitiveness in intemational market hi-tech industries and capital-intensive industries. Policies that encourage exports will be further implemented. Under these premises, the state will adjust export policies in line with its macroeconomic development program New foreign trade policies are beginning to play active roles. They have raised tax rebates of textiles and will continue the effort to bring about a zero-rate terminally so as to reduce export costs.
The policy environments in 1998 will work to foster growth in exports. International and domestic markets are revealing the following favorable factors. First, importing countries are continuing to raise demand for Chinese products. Second, domestic production capacity has been upgraded although domestic investment and consumption are still limited. Third, inflation was kept under control in 1997. However the intemnational market has given rise to some negative impacts on China's exports. The financial crisis that shock South-east Asia in 1997 has caused many nations to devaluate their currencies. This has led to new level of competition within the region.The devaluation of the Yen has burt Chinese exports to Japan. A large share of the processing and assembling activities in China and around East Asia will be seriously affected by the currency devaluation. The financial turmoil has had a massive impact on many sectors of the economy.
Capital-intensive industries require large amount of capital investment.
正确答案
A
AI解析
根据题目内容，1998年中国的出口形势分析和预测涉及多个方面。首先，中国政府通过支持和优惠政策鼓励具有国际市场竞争力的骨干产业、高科技产业和资本密集型产业的发展。此外，为了降低出口成本，政府提高了纺织品的出口退税率，并计划逐步实现零税率。这些新的外贸政策开始发挥积极作用，有助于促进出口增长。
国际和国内市场显示出一些有利因素，包括进口国对中国产品需求的持续增长，国内生产能力的升级，以及1997年通货膨胀的有效控制。然而，国际市场也对中国出口产生了一些负面影响，特别是1997年东南亚金融危机导致多国货币贬值，增加了区域内的竞争压力。日元的贬值对中国对日本的出口造成了伤害，中国和东亚地区的加工和组装活动受到货币贬值的严重影响，金融动荡对经济的多个部门产生了巨大影响。
资本密集型产业需要大量的资本投资，这可能会对出口产生影响，尤其是当资本投资不足时。
题目选项A表示正确，根据上述分析，选项A是正确的，因为政策环境、市场需求、生产能力升级和通货膨胀控制等因素都表明1998年中国的出口形势有望增长，尽管存在一些国际市场的负面影响。